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As part of my volunteer work for the City of Memphis - Shelby County Joint COVID Task Force in the ESF 8 Data Subcommittee, I adapted the ICL European non-pharmaceutical intervention model to the U.S.
This work is now published to the preprint server MedRxiv in order to make it available as quickly as possible to the scientific community:
Olney, A. M., Smith, J., Sen, S., Thomas, F., & Unwin, H. J. T. (2020). Estimating the Effect of Social Distancing Interventions on COVID-19 in the United States. MedRxiv, 2020.07.10.20151001. https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.07.10.20151001
Here’s the short story: